| M | T | W | T | F | S | S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| « Dec | Feb » | |||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | |||
Singapore Reflections at Keppel Bay units to set new price benchmarks
By Geraldine Ding and Yvonne Cheong,
SINGAPORE : Remaining units at upmarket waterfront residence, Reflections at Keppel Bay, are expected to set new price benchmarks for condos in the harbourfront area.
This bullish view came from its joint developer Keppel Land.
The units released under phase one of the project last year had already set benchmark prices for the west coast.
Mirroring the buoyant property market, Reflections at Keppel Bay set new record prices for high-end luxury properties in the west last year.
620 units released under phase one were sold for an average of nearly S$2,000 per square foot.
They were snapped up within eight months of the launch last April.
Keppel Land says they expects even higher prices for the remaining 509 units as some of the more expensive blocks have been reserved for phase two.
He believes the super penthouse, which has an area of more than 12,000 square feet, will set a brand new price benchmark.
Augustine Tan, Chief Executive - Singapore Residential, Keppel Land, says: “I think the highest price is above S$2,700 psf. We’ve got the super penthouse we’ve yet to release and that would probably set the new benchmark.”
The developer expects higher prices on average also because more expensive units with sea facing views and on higher floors have been reserved for phase two.
It’s confident demand for high-end projects will hold up this year, despite the quieter property front.
Mr Tan says: “I do share the view by consultants that demand for high-end (properties) should hold up. I think the pace of increase in prices will be fairly regulated but from the enquiry levels that we have for the Reflections in particular, we think that the demand is still fairly strong for good quality housing, so especially waterfront. So, we do foresee the demand will hold up.”
The dates have not been set for the launch of the second phase, but it’ll be after the launch of Keppel’s Marina Bay Residences in the first quarter.
Keppel Group awarded the main contract for Reflections to construction firm Woh Hup for a record S$1 billion.
Mr Tan says it’s the largest construction contract for a condominium in Singapore to date.
Construction began on Tuesday and is expected to completed by 2013.
Reflections at Keppel Bay is jointly developed by Keppel Corporation and Keppel Land. - CNA/ch
Source : Channel NewsAsia - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
Grab now before price up again , Condo apartment n landed house For sale 09-01-2008
1) Project : The Sail
Dist : 01
Tenure : 99 yrs
Bdrm : 02
Size : 883 sqft
Floor : #53 & above
Facing : Sentosa View
Asking : S$2,300 psf
Remarks : Under construction.
2) Project : The Sail
Dist : 01
Tenure : 99 yrs
Bdrm : 01
Size : 592 sqft
Floor : #45 & above
Facing : Bay View
Asking : S$2,500 psf
Remarks : Under construction.
3) Project : The Paterson
Dist : 09
Tenure : Freehold
Bdrm : 04
Size : 2,250 sqft
Floor : #19 & above
Facing : Unblock, City View
Asking : S$3,000 psf
Remarks : Vacant, move in or rent anytime, no noon sun.
4) Project : The Bayshore
Dist : 16
Tenure : 99 yrs
Bdrm : 03
Size : 1,300 sqft
Floor : #18 & above
Facing : Unblock, Sea View
Asking : S$1 mil
Remarks : Tenanted @ S$3,900 (unfurnish) w.e.f. Nov’ 07, korea company lease, no noon sun.
5) Project : Semi-D @ Kew Hts
Dist : 16
Tenure : 99 yrs
Bdrm : 7 + 6 toilets
Size : 2,500/3,100 sqft
Floor : 3 storey
Facing : North-West
Asking : S$1.6 mil
Remarks : Owner stay, very well kept, bank indication @ S$1.6 mil, 101% move in, S$300k renovation, Balinese decor, no noon sun.
6) Project : Semi-D @ Carmen Street
Dist : 16
Tenure : Freehold
Bdrm : 7+ 6 toilets
Size : 3,000/4,000 sqft
Floor : 3 storey
Facing : To be confirmed
Asking : S$2.9 mil
Remarks : Owner stay, very well kept, bank indication @ S$2.45 mil, 101% move in.
Singapore Real Estate - Buy , Sell , Rent ,invest Singapore Property
Buy, sell and rent Singapore real estate: private property, residential apartments, commercial and industrial properties. HDB flats for sale and rental. Foreign investors, buyers, tenants or relocating expats can easily find their ideal landed house, bungalow, semi-d, terrace, condominium, townhouse, private apartment, HDB, HUDC, office, shop, factory, warehouse & land right here.
MINDY YONG
( +65 ) 91002985
mindy@mindyyong.com ( email me )
http://www.hotvictory.com
Singapore Queenstown flat sold for record $890k
21st-storey executive flat in Mei Ling Street was bought for $300,000 in 1992
By Tan Hui Yee & Jessica Cheam
THE brief for the property agent was simple: Find an HDB flat with great views and near an MRT station. Top floors only - and, it appears, never mind the price.
Two intense days of door-knocking and a record $890,000 later, the buyer has his dream home - and the most expensive Housing Board flat in the country.
For his money, he gets a spacious 21st-storey executive flat in Queenstown, with expansive views towards Sentosa and leafy Mount Faber on one side and Queenstown Stadium on the other.
The 13-year-old flat in Block 150, Mei Ling Street, is just a few minutes away from Queenstown MRT via a sheltered walkway, and a swimming complex is just around the corner.
The owners, Mr David Ho Khoi Seng, 72, and wife Judy, 64, had paid just over $300,000 for the 1,614 sq ft flat, which has four bedrooms, a living room and a study, in 1992.
Mr Ho, who runs a stationery shop, said he had no intention of selling when PropNex agent David See and his son came knocking last Thursday.
The couple tried to deter the buyers - believed to be an elderly couple who own private property - by asking for what they felt was a ridiculous $900,000.
‘We thought $900,000 was too high a price for anyone, but the buyers seemed pretty desperate to find a suitable flat,’ said Mr Ho.
Mr See, 47, said he roped in his 20-year-old son Wilson for the quest to give him some work experience before he starts university later this year.
But knocking on doors, he said, is something he would only do for ‘genuine buyers’.
‘It was a challenge. It’s not easy to get people to sell high-floor units at this time,’ he added.
Demand had sent HDB resale prices up 17.4 per cent last year, the highest in a decade, but executive flats in coveted districts near the central city like Queenstown and Bukit Merah have been extra hot.
The old record for an HDB flat was $780,000 - also for an executive flat in Mei Ling Street - achieved last November.
Five other such flats in Mei Ling Street changed hands between November and December, ranging in price from $728,000 to $765,000.
Median resale prices of executive flats in Queenstown hit $719,000 between July and September last year, a jump from $609,000 in the previous quarter. This type of flat in Queenstown commanded $120,000 in cash over their valuation in the same period.
A five-roomer in Kim Tian Place in nearby Bukit Merah changed hands for $720,000 last June.
With prices of resale HDB flats expected to climb further, the latest deal has prompted some people to ask when a public housing unit will cross the $1 million mark.
Agents reckon that is a way off yet.
Mr See thinks his record deal was more a reflection of the buyers’ eagerness, rather than market sentiment.
Meanwhile, Mr Ho and his wife will live with their 35-year-old son in his Siglap terrace house until they find a suitable home.
When they move, Mr Ho will have to give up a pastime of his: Watching S-League football matches at Queenstown Stadium from the balcony of his Mei Ling Street flat’s master bedroom
$1m flat? Not yet
THE latest deal has some people asking when a public housing unit will cross the $1 million mark.
Mr Eric Cheng, executive director of HSR Property group, said it was unlikely to happen in the next two years.
PropNex agent David See, the agent for the Mei Ling Street deal, thinks the record sale was more a reflection of the buyers’ eagerness, rather than market sentiment.
Source : Straits Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
Woh Hup wins $1b Keppel contract to build Singapore Reflections
KEPPEL Corp and its property arm, Keppel Land (KepLand), yesterday said the main contract for its huge Reflections at Keppel Bay condominium - awarded to Woh Hup Holdings - is worth a whopping $1 billion.
It is the largest condo construction contract in Singapore for Keppel, as well as for Woh Hup, which was started 80 years ago.
The project will add to the strong growth momentum of the construction sector in Singapore, said Knight Frank director of research and consultancy Nicholas Mak.
Indeed, the news - announced at yesterday’s ground-breaking ceremony for the condo - comes at a busy time for Singapore’s construction sector. Costs have risen significantly and most contractors are fully booked in the months ahead.
Still, Woh Hup vice-chairman Yong Tiam Yoon said rising costs are manageable - made easier by the fact that the firm has reliable suppliers.
As for the 1,129-unit Reflections condo, he said the costs are higher due to the construction of curved structures.
The condo is set for completion before 2013, with 509 unsold units due to go on the market ’some time this year’.
The second phase will be priced higher as there will be units facing better directions, said Mr Augustine Tan, chief executive, Singapore residential for KepLand.
Source : Straits Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
Middle Road Singapore office block up for sale
A FIVE-storey office building in the Beach Road district has been launched for sale amid a severe shortage of office space in Singapore.
The freehold building is the former P H building at 33 Middle Road and has an indicative price of $23 million, said marketing agent Colliers International.
‘We forsee strong interest from investors who are attracted by the opportunity posed by the current tight office supply in the market,’ said the firm’s executive director of investment sales, Mr Ho Eng Joo.
The property is owned by a trading company, added Mr Ho.
The site is near the upcoming mega mixed-development South Beach, developed by a City Developments-led consortium, and within a short stroll to the City Hall and Bugis MRT stations.
It sits on an area of 3,749 sq ft and has a gross floor area of 16,954 sq ft. The site is zoned for commercial use with a gross plot ratio of 4.2 and can be built up to six storeys.
The property has showroom space on the ground floor and offices from the second to fifth storeys. It also has carpark facilities.
Mr Ho said rents of similar grade office space along Middle Road are priced from $7 per sq ft (psf) to $7.50 psf.
The building is fully tenanted, but all the tenancies are due to expire by the third quarter of this year, said Mr Ho.
Source : Straits Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
How can I sign up for a business angel?
WHAT are the criteria for Spring Singapore’s Business Angels Scheme? How can I apply?
The Business Angels Scheme provides innovative, Singapore-based young companies a matching dollar for every dollar that pre-approved ‘angel groups’ invest.
If your company is less than five years old and developing innovative products or processes for the global market, you can qualify for the Business Angels Scheme.
This scheme brings together ‘business angels’ that may invest in your company with a matching dollar from Spring Seeds Capital, an investment arm under Spring Singapore. The investment can reach up to $1 million.
You will have to obtain a minimum investment of $75,000 from one of two pre-
approved business angel groups. Both Spring Seeds Capital and the business angel group will take equity stakes in your company in proportion to their investments.
This scheme is similar to the Start-up Enterprise Development Scheme and the Growth Financing Programme in encouraging business angel investments in innovative start-up companies.
Encouraging SMEs to use infocomm
I read about the new SME Infocomm package. Can you provide me with more details about the programme?
To accelerate infocomm adoption among small and medium- sized enterprises (SMEs), the Infocomm Development Authority of Singapore (IDA) launched a Call-For-Collaboration on Nov 7 for vendors.
This involves the formation of a consortium or consortia that would provide one-stop infocomm packages, including personal computers, printers, broadband connectivity, website development, maintenance and hosting, and infocomm business solutions to meet the different needs of SMEs and help them harness the potential of infocomm.
To push early users of infocomm in their businesses, the IDA will co-fund the first 5,000 SMEs with no or little adoption of infocomm when they take up the infocomm packages.
The provision of one-stop infocomm packages is expected to be available to SMEs from May, by which time there will be more details on the IDA website www.ida.gov.sg
Source : Straits Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
CapitaLand shares fall after news of offer for Ascott
IT WAS a tale of two share prices yesterday, after Monday night’s surprise announcement that CapitaLand wanted to take The Ascott Group private.
The property giant’s stock dropped by 5.3 per cent to $5.92, while Ascott shares rocketed 41.3 per cent to $1.71.
That price almost matched CapitaLand’s offer of $1.73 a share for the 33.5 per cent of Ascott it does not already own. When the offer was announced, the price was 43 per cent ahead of Ascott’s closing level on Monday of $1.21.
The move comes as property stocks in Singapore are being hit by fears of a possible United States recession. Mr Vikrant Pandey, an investment analyst at UOB Kay Hian Research, believes those jitters were the main reason behind yesterday’s selldown on CapitaLand.
Bears were in the market on Monday but they did not have a chance to trade CapitaLand shares due to a trading halt, he said.
Other analysts, though, maintain the Ascott acquisition is partly to blame for CapitaLand’s fall.
OCBC Investment Research analyst Winston Liew said the market ‘could be looking for a more conservative growth strategy’.
‘Some players think CapitaLand is overpaying but Ascott is in a sector that will continue to grow,’ another analyst added.
A UBS report said Ascott shareholders were likely to accept the offer.
JPMorgan said the benefit to CapitaLand of the Ascott move lies in a tidying-up of its group structure.
CapitaLand will be acquiring a subsidiary that pursues a similar asset-light, real estate funds model and strategy at a time when the market is undervaluing the stock, JPMorgan said.
In a note yesterday, Mr Liew said CapitaLand’s acquisition price was not cheap, as it represented a 145 per cent premium over Ascott’s book value of 70.6 cents and about 17 times Ascott’s earnings in the 2007 financial year. He asked: The key question is why?
One possibility is that it allows CapitaLand to use Ascott as a vehicle to park all its residential assets, including recent ones in China.
Mr Liew said Ascott would then eventually divest itself of its developments to Ascott Residence Trust, an investment trust holding service apartments and other real estate across Asia.
As for Ascott itself, the general offer is expected to strengthen further its market leadership in the service apartment business, said a Macquarie Securities report.
Source : Straits Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
China Eastern shareholders reject S’pore SIA bid
Offer price deemed too low; but hope remains for a new deal
By Vince Chong, Hong Kong Correspondent
SINGAPORE Airlines (SIA) yesterday failed in a HK$7.2 billion (S$1.3 billion) bid to secure a strategic foothold in the booming Chinese aviation market - but some hope remains that a fresh deal may emerge.
Shareholders in China Eastern, the country’s No. 3 airline, overwhelmingly rejected the proposed tie-up, which would have given SIA and Temasek Holdings a 24 per cent stake in the carrier.
The proposed deal had represented SIA’s ticket into Shanghai, which is not merely China Eastern’s home base - where it has a dominant position - but also a vital economic cog in booming China, with a fast-growing aviation sector.
The outcome followed aggressive lobbying to kill the bid by China Eastern rival and fellow state-owned carrier Air China.
However, the deal may not be dead yet, as it remains unclear if SIA and China Eastern will give up on a tie-up that had already been sanctioned by Beijing.
China Eastern chairman Li Fenghua also kept alive hopes for another run at a deal, insisting the carrier would not turn to Air China. He said the airline would not tie up with another of the ’same level’.
‘It’s not simply the price that I look at,’ he said.
‘It’s like if you don’t like a girl, no matter how big the dowry is, it wouldn’t work.’
And while they rejected the deal, China Eastern shareholders nonetheless backed a separate resolution for SIA chairman Stephen Lee and chief executive officer Chew Choon Seng to join China Eastern’s board.
In a statement yesterday, SIA expressed disappointment, but left its options open.
‘SIA will continue to support the building of a relationship with China Eastern, noting that the airlines are still mutually willing to develop the relationship,’ it said.
More than 74 per cent of China Eastern’s Hong Kong-listed shareholders, and 77 per cent of its mainland-listed shareholders, voted against the tie-up in a boisterous meeting in Shanghai yesterday. They deemed the offer price of HK$3.80 too low.
The deal had needed the support of a two-thirds majority in each group.
China Eastern’s share price closed at HK$6.66 on Monday before trading was suspended pending yesterday’s meetings.
Like two bickering siblings, Air China, the country’s largest airline, and China Eastern have engaged in a public spat for much of the past four months, after the proposed Singapore tie-up was announced in September.
Air China’s parent, the China National Aviation Corp (CNAC), which also owns over 12 per cent of the loss-making China Eastern, said SIA’s price was just too low.
Many also believe Beijing-based Air China did not want a major competitor to emerge in Shanghai, where its own presence is weak.
It has since pledged, along with partner and SIA rival Cathay Pacific, to make a fresh bid of at least HK$5 per share for a China Eastern stake.
Yesterday, a minority shareholder summed up current sentiment when she said that while ‘SIA’s international expertise is valuable, it is no secret formula”.
‘I’m sure China Eastern will be able to get it elsewhere for a better price,” she was quoted as saying on Hong Kong’s i-Cable news.
Whether or not it comes from Air China is another issue, said market watchers, given China Eastern’s fierce objections towards the former.
The Shanghai carrier is backed by leaders who want a competitive airline sector, while Air China is backed by those aiming to build a ’super carrier’ through consolidation.
Source : Straits Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
When US sneezes, Asia now does not catch cold
THE axiom ‘when the US sneezes, Asia catches cold’ does not hold true any more.
Asian economies have become less dependent on the United States market, though not completely immune to its changes.
That, at least, was the consensus at the 6th Annual Business Outlook Forum, jointly organised by the Singapore Chinese Chamber of Commerce & Industry and The Business Times on Monday.
Benjamin Yeo, executive director and head of UBS Wealth Management Research, highlighted the growing importance of emerging markets like China against the declining export markets of the US.
Mr Yeo said: ‘As far as Asian growth is concerned, we remain cautiously optimistic.’
He attributed his optimism to several factors including the increase in export diversification away from the US in Asia.
Currency strategist Idris Nizam analysed the possible directions of the US dollar versus the Singapore dollar and other Asian currencies like the Chinese yuan and the Malaysian ringgit.
Mr Nizam, director of foreign exchange research at UBS AG, said: ‘In my view, global growth has peaked.’
He does not expect a recession in the US, but slower growth is likely.
Asian Property Equities fund manager Frankie Lee discussed the structural growth of the region and the fundamentals of domestic property.
He said that it is not too late to invest in Asia-Pacific property as valuation becomes favourable.
In fact, the timing now is as good as at any point in the past 18 months, Mr Lee said.
Vikram Khanna, associate editor of The Business Times, chaired the panel discussion that followed the analysts’ speeches.
Source : Business Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
Singapore to host SIFE World Cup in October
GLOBAL non-profit organisation Students In Free Enterprise (SIFE) will hold the SIFE World Cup 2008 at the Suntec Singapore International Convention & Exhibition Centre on Oct 1-3 this year.
The competition is expected to bring together top national SIFE teams from over 40 countries. The teams have developed community and educational outreach projects that teach entrepreneurship, market economics, business ethics and finance - to make a difference to the lives of others. They will present and pitch the results of their outreach projects against one another for the world title.
The annual competition has previously been held in London, Amsterdam, Mainz, Barcelona, Toronto, Paris, and New York City.
SIFE’s global partners include HSBC, KPMG, Walmart, Campbell Soup Company, Pepsico, Coca-Cola, Cadbury and AIG. SIFE Singapore’s partners include Unilever, Korn/Ferry International, Philip Morris, Henkel, Harvey Norman and The Cocoa Trees.
Source : Business Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
US headed for worst recession in a while: Jim Rogers
(LONDON) The US economy is heading for a recession that may be the worst ‘in a while’ and investors should sell the dollar as global currencies weaken, investor Jim Rogers said.
Mr Rogers: ‘The dollar is going to be under duress for many years to come’
‘It’s going to be one of the worst recessions we’ve had in a while because we had so many excesses going into it,’ Mr Rogers, chairman of New York-based Rogers Holdings, said in a Bloomberg Television interview on Monday from Singapore.
‘It’s going to be bad for all of us as currencies come under more and more stress and we have more inflation in the world,’ he said.
The US and UK governments have been ‘lying’ about inflation, Mr Rogers said, adding that he is selling their respective currencies.
The dollar dropped for a second straight year in 2007, falling 8.3 per cent on a trade-weighted basis as the collapse of the US sub-prime mortgage market prompted the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates three times. Rising energy and food prices have pushed up inflation in Europe.
‘I hope by the end of this year all of my assets will be out of the US dollar,’ Mr Rogers said. ‘The dollar is a currency that’s terribly flawed and it’s going to be under duress for many years to come.’
Mr Rogers said in a Nov 15 interview that investors should sell the dollar and that he expects to be rid of all his US currency assets this year. He reiterated that he is also buying the Chinese yuan and the Swiss franc as other currencies weaken.
Mr Rogers, who has been a commodity bull since 1999, said that agriculture may be the best investment among commodities in the event of a world recession.
‘If you’re worried about a recession, you might think about buying agricultural commodities,’ Mr Rogers said. ‘I suspect agriculture is going to do well no matter what happens to the world economy.’
Cotton, coffee and sugar may gain the most, he said, adding that he wouldn’t buy crude oil after prices rose above US$100 a barrel last week, or industrial metals such as tin or lead because a slowing US economy would curb demand.
Mr Rogers said commodities will gain even if the dollar declines, because of supply shortages.
‘All commodities are going to be in much shorter supply for another decade,’ he said. ‘So even if the dollar goes up, commodities are going to go higher.’ - Bloomberg
Source : Business Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
Sub-prime woes won’t hit Asia-Pac growth: World Bank
Developing countries robust enough to pull advanced economies along
By ANTHONY ROWLEY
IN TOKYO
EAST Asia and Pacific economies will be hardly deflected from their growth path this year by fallout from the US sub-prime mortgage crisis, the World Bank says in its latest Global Economic Prospects report published today.
It also maintains an upbeat tone about prospects for the global economy, arguing that developing country growth in Asia and elsewhere is robust enough to pull advanced economies along. This optimism echoes that expressed by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) last month in its latest Economic Outlook, and in the World Bank’s East Asia and Pacific Update last November.
But the bank does acknowledge growing risks, such as that of a sudden collapse of the dollar or even the failure of a ‘key’ financial system. So far, the sub-prime crisis and related financial market distress have taken only a slight toll on the world economy, the latest report says.
Global growth slowed ‘modestly’ last year to 3.6 per cent from 3.9 per cent in 2006 and should decline gently again this year, to 3.3 per cent, it argues. ‘World output should pick up in 2009, expanding by 3.6 per cent as the US economy regains momentum.’
GDP in East Asia and the Pacific is expected to grow about 10 per cent in 2007, with China set to grow by more than 11 per cent. Growth for the region should ease to 9.7 per cent in 2008 and 9.6 per cent by 2009.
‘Effects from turmoil in world financial centres may be small in most economies in the region. Except in China, direct exposure of financial institutions in the region to mortgage-based securities or the sub-prime crisis is limited,’ says the report.
Growth in South Asia edged down slightly in 2007 to 8.4 per cent, with industrial production and GDP growth driven by strong domestic demand. ‘An expansion of credit, rising incomes, and strong worker remittances are buoying private consumption.’
Meanwhile, ‘improvements in business sentiment along with rising corporate profits are providing a further boost’, the World Bank says. Growth in Latin America should also ease only slightly this year while output is predicted to expand in 2008 in the Middle East and much of Africa, owing to high oil prices and to strong domestic demand.
‘Overall, we expect developing country growth to moderate only somewhat over the next two years,’ commented Uri Dadush, director of the World Bank’s development prospects group.
‘Strong import demand across the developing countries is helping to sustain global growth,’ said Hans Timmer, manager of the global trends team in the development prospects group. ‘As a result, and given a cheaper US dollar, American exports are expanding rapidly. This is helping to shrink the US current account deficit and contributing to a decline in global imbalances.’
The World Bank admits, however, that ‘a much sharper US slowdown is a real risk that could weaken mid-term prospects in developing countries’. A US recession, or an excessive easing of US monetary policy could contribute to further sharp declines in the dollar, it notes.
‘A weaker dollar would benefit developing countries with dollar debt but impose losses on those holding dollar-denominated assets. It would hurt the competitiveness of firms exporting to the US.
However, ‘the main impact of a precipitous decline in the dollar would likely stem from the increased uncertainty and financial market volatility it would provoke’. Recent financial turbulence has shown how ’sudden and pervasive adjustments in financial markets can be’, the report says.
‘Because the dynamics of financial behaviour are inherently difficult to control, and new securitised instruments have made identifying the location or magnitude of underlying risk difficult, the possibility of a breakdown in a key financial institution or system cannot be fully discounted.’
To date, the report adds, ’strong fundamentals in developing countries have helped mitigate the slowdown in the US but in the case of a major disruption, adverse effects in emerging markets are unlikely to be avoided, which at some point would exacerbate the US slowdown’.
Source : Business Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
UOB launches home loan with an overdraft feature -Singapore
By CHOW PENN NEE
AMID the current negative interest rate environment, where inflation is rising faster than interest rates, United Overseas Bank (UOB) has launched a housing loan with an overdraft (OD) feature.
‘We don’t want to compete on interest rates.’
- Kevin Lam,
head of UOB’s loans division
The OD facility gives customers the flexibility to invest, to reap potentially higher returns.
Kevin Lam, head of UOB’s loans division, said he expects interest rates to remain stagnant for 2008. ‘This year, I think interest rate will remain flat, with the general trend of softening, as we see some correlation with US interest rates,’ he said.
The key three-month interbank rate stood at 1.81 per cent yesterday, after hovering between 2.4 and 3.4 per cent last year.
Inflation rate - as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) - surged 4.2 per cent in November, compared with a year ago.
In this environment where asset prices are rising quickly and interest rates are low, consumers can capitalise on it by putting their money into other instruments or other uses, said Mr Lam. He added that asset inflation will probably remain for some time, and that asset prices will appreciate at a more modest level now, after having surged in the past few years.
The FlexiMortgage loan, launched recently, combines a conventional housing loan and an overdraft facility. Customers can decide on how much will go to paying the housing loan, and how much the OD will be.
For the housing loan component, the customer pays a normal monthly instalment, but for the OD component, customers service only the interest. The principal is not paid down in this component, and customers can decide when they want to pay the full sum of the principal.
The interest rate for this loan comes up higher than an average home loan interest rate, but Mr Lam said the bank is not competing on the basis of rates.
‘We don’t want to compete on interest rates since whatever rate you can come up with, a competitor will go lower,’ he explained. ‘We are moving away from that to redefine and create a new competitive advantage with this loan.’
In a typical home loan, wealth is locked in. ‘If you want to take out your money, you must sell your place and downgrade your house for the extra cash,’ said Mr Lam.
Another alternative is to go to the bank and take out an OD facility on the home. All that takes time and the legal processes can drag on for months, he explained.
However, with this loan, he said, the OD facility that comes with it can be used to tap business or investment opportunities quickly.
The OD facility currently has a floating rate of 4.25 per cent and follows UOB’s prime rate of 5 per cent. If the prime rate moves up or down, the OD follows accordingly. The interest rate on the OD facility is comparable with those of other banks.
Mr Lam said he expects this loan to contribute 10-20 per cent to the bank’s loan business this year. He said UOB did well last year in terms of market share and growth for loans.
UOB ‘does not depend on deferred payment loans to grow its loan book’, he said, dismissing perceptions that the bank has a large pipeline of deferred payment loans. ‘Our business growth is in secondary market transactions,’ said Mr Lam.
Source : Business Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
Singapore SIA deal: Did Beijing change its mind?
By VEN SREENIVASAN
IN THE end, did ‘big boss’ change his mind?
Disappointed: China Eastern Airlines chairman Li Fenghua had just three weeks ago declared that there was no possibility of Air China scuppering the stake purchase, as the ‘boss’ had blessed the deal
That is the question in the minds of many observers watching the collapse of the Singapore Airlines-Temasek joint bid for a 24 per cent stake in state-owned China Eastern Airlines (CEA), thanks to a concerted effort by rival sister state-owned carrier Air China.
For much of the first seven months after the initial agreement was signed, investors, observers and industry insiders were convinced that Beijing had quietly supported - if not actually pushed - the HK$7.16 billion (S$1.32 billion) stake sale.
The deal would have resulted in SIA holding almost 16 per cent of China Eastern, and Temasek, 8 per cent.
The general thinking was that the Chinese government had approved the deal as it wanted its three national carrier groups to compete against each other in order to boost productivity and efficiency in the state-controlled aviation sector.
All Air China had to do to scuttle the deal was to convince a couple of other H-share institutional stakeholders to join it. And it did just that.
Just three weeks ago, CEA president-chairman Li Fenghua declared that there was no possibility of Air China scuppering the stake purchase, as the ‘boss’ had blessed the deal.
‘Chances of the deal failing are not high, perhaps even zero,’ said Mr Li. ‘You must be very clear on who the big boss is,’ he said.
And as late as last week, reports cited China’s State-owned Assets Supervision & Administration Commission (Sasac), which has oversight on all state assets and investments, calling in the bosses of Air China parent China National Aviation Corp (CNAC) for a ‘briefing’. Sasac had previously called on all minorities to support the SIA-Temasek stake purchase, though Air China boss Li Rongrong says he had not received such instructions.
For the transaction to succeed, two-thirds of the minority shareholders of the Hong Kong-listed H shares and two-thirds of the minority shareholders of China Eastern’s Shanghai-listed A shares had to approve the transaction. CEA’s parent, China Eastern Holdings, which controls about 58 per cent of the airline, could not vote.
All Air China had to do to scuttle the deal was to convince a couple of other H-share institutional stakeholders to join it. And it did just that.
But there is a bigger picture emerging behind all of this.
To have successfully and tenaciously lobbied against the deal, surely Air China must have had the tacit approval of Beijing. To do so, it must have convinced the ‘big boss’ of the merits of consolidation, rather than competition.
If so, this episode sends a very convoluted message to investors.
‘Whatever the outcome, the country’s aviation policy is now as confused and inconsistent as it has ever been,’ Merrill Lynch noted on Monday.
For SIA, this marks another major disappointment after suffering hiccups in several other ventures it entered in the last two decades. The most notable of these was its inability to set up a joint-venture airline with the Tata group in India in the early 1990s in the face of the Indian Transport Ministry’s objections. Ten years later came the collapse of its stake value in Air New Zealand as the Kiwi airline almost went under in the wake of the collapse of its Australian unit, Ansett.
SIA also walked away from its management contract with Air Lanka - leaving rival Emirates to come in as a controlling stakeholder - and exited from its Swissair-Delta stakeholding partnership (which, on hindsight, was timely).
It is now sitting unhappily on its 49 per cent stake in Virgin Atlantic, collecting dividends in the face of Richard Branson & Co’s refusal to offer any management control.
Ironically, the one venture where it seems to be doing reasonably well is its China-based Great Wall Airlines freighter airline business, where it has a 25 per cent stake, while its parent Temasek has 24 per cent.
But it is not all doom and gloom for SIA.
The Asia-Pacific’s aviation boom will inevitably throw up new opportunities which SIA could capitalise on. In Australia, the prospect of a trans-Pacific route from Sydney to the US has improved significantly after a new Labor government was elected late last year.
As one analyst put it, when one door closes, another invariably opens. Perseverance is the key to success.
And no one knows that better than the folks who run SIA.
Source : Business Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985
Singapore SIA deal shot down as Air China gets its way
China Eastern hurt by bigger rival’s tactics as move is vetoed by minority shareholders
By VEN SREENIVASAN
(SINGAPORE) The buyer wanted it. The seller wanted it. But in the end, it was a rival that got its way.
‘There is already some speculation that the Chinese government could offer some compensation to SIA in the form of some concession within the China market.’
- Vincent Ng,
Standard & Poor’s Equity Research
Singapore Airlines (SIA) faced bitter disappointment yesterday as its bid to buy into Shanghai-based China Eastern Airlines (CEA) failed, thanks to a ferocious campaign by rival Air China’s parent, China National Aviation Corp Group (CNAC).
The move means that Air China will continue to hold on to its position as the dominant player in China’s aviation industry. It has successfully managed to ward off the prospect of a challenge from its smaller rival CEA, which had hoped to get its act together by teaming up with a world-class player like SIA. The irony is that Air China’s parent CNAC used the buzz created by SIA to convince minority shareholders that its offer price was too low.
Last September, when SIA and Temasek first signed up to buy new CEA shares for HK$7.16 billion (S$1.32 billion) at HK$3.80 apiece, CEA stock was trading around 30 per cent below the Singapore offer price. The deal immediately brought CEA shares to life, as they rose to HK$9.72 the same month. CNAC, which had been accumulating its minority stake in CEA, then claimed that the Singapore offer was too low and offered to buy the stake at HK$5 per share along with its partner and SIA rival, Cathay Pacific.
For the deal to go through, at least two-thirds of minority shareholders had to back it. Instead, 78 per cent voted against it at a meeting in Shanghai yesterday.
CEA’s disappointment was palpable. Chairman Li Fenghua said that the airline would continue its cooperation with SIA. He also made his feelings clear when he said that his carrier was ‘unwilling’ to consider a tie-up with Air China.
‘We should join with a strong partner, not a company that is at the same level as us just because of the price,’ Mr Li said at a press conference, according to Bloomberg.
He had been confident that the deal would go through as he thought it had Beijing’s blessings. ‘You must be very clear on who is the big boss,’ he had said earlier.
In the end, Air China managed to convince the ‘big boss’ and CEA’s minority shareholders of the merits of consolidation in China’s aviation market, rather than having three strong players, with foreign partners competing.
SIA has repeatedly said it would not raise its offer price, and chief executive Chew Choon Seng said the airline would not be drawn into an auction for loss-making CEA. Nevertheless, the inability to clinch CEA will be a bitter disappointment for SIA.
It would have been a strategic foothold in the huge Chinese aviation market, which is expected to grow five-fold by 2026, according to American plane-maker Boeing.
In a brief statement yesterday, SIA noted its disappointment and thanked minority shareholders who backed the deal.
‘The transaction represents what all parties believe is and remains full and fair value for the equity injection to recapitalise the airline (CEA),’ the statement said. ‘The transaction has also been approved in accordance with relevant laws and regulations. The proposal (was) for a long-term strategic relationship with a willing partner. With board and management involvement by Singapore Airlines, the proposal (would have brought) international expertise to China Eastern, which (would have) helped the airline meet the challenges it will face in a competitive aviation environment in China.’
SIA said that it would continue to build a relationship with CEA, noting the two airlines are still mutually willing to develop this.
While acknowledging the disappointment, analysts said yesterday the failure of the deal could open ‘other doors’ for SIA.
‘There is already some speculation that the Chinese government could offer some compensation to SIA in the form of some concession within the China market,’ said Vincent Ng from Standard & Poor’s Equity Research. ‘Meanwhile, SIA itself will move on to new opportunities which are developing elsewhere. When one door closes, another invariably opens.’
The folks at SIA must certainly be hoping so.
Source : Business Times - 09 Jan 2008
Singapore Property - Buy , Sell , Rent , Invest
Mindy Yong
(+65)91002985